从长远来看,AI 将重塑软件行业格局。摩根大通和杰富瑞的分析显示,大约 33% 的公司将成为赢家,33% 可能违约,其余成为“僵尸企业”。
其次,大模型的记忆能力有缺陷:大模型在训练时“记住”了大量知识,但训练完成后并不会在使用中持续学习、“记住“新知识;每次推理时,它只能依赖有限长度的上下文窗口来“记住”当前任务的信息(不同模型有不同上限,超过窗口的内容就会被遗忘),而无法像人一样自然地维持稳定、长期的个体记忆。但在真实业务中,我们需要机器智能有强大的记忆能力,比如一个AI老师,需要持续记住学生的学习历史、薄弱环节和偏好,才能在后续的讲解与练习中真正做到“因人施教”。
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The real annoying thing about Opus 4.6/Codex 5.3 is that it’s impossible to publicly say “Opus 4.5 (and the models that came after it) are an order of magnitude better than coding LLMs released just months before it” without sounding like an AI hype booster clickbaiting, but it’s the counterintuitive truth to my personal frustration. I have been trying to break this damn model by giving it complex tasks that would take me months to do by myself despite my coding pedigree but Opus and Codex keep doing them correctly. On Hacker News I was accused of said clickbaiting when making a similar statement with accusations of “I haven’t had success with Opus 4.5 so you must be lying.” The remedy to this skepticism is to provide more evidence in addition to greater checks and balances, but what can you do if people refuse to believe your evidence?,推荐阅读快连下载安装获取更多信息